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Date May 2021 Marks available 4 Reference code 21M.1.AHL.TZ1.1
Level Additional Higher Level Paper Paper 1 Time zone Time zone 1
Command term Find Question number 1 Adapted from N/A

Question

George goes fishing. From experience he knows that the mean number of fish he catches per hour is 1.1. It is assumed that the number of fish he catches can be modelled by a Poisson distribution.

On a day in which George spends 8 hours fishing, find the probability that he will catch more than 9 fish.

Markscheme

X~Po8.8               (M1)


Note: Award (M1) for calculating the mean, 8.8, of the distribution


PX>9=PX10  OR  PX>9=1-PX9               (M1)

PX>9=0.386  (0.386260)               (M1)A1

 

Note: Award (M1)(M0)(M1)A0 for finding PX9=0.518  (0.517719) OR PX9=0.614  (0.613740).


[4 marks]

Examiners report

[N/A]

Syllabus sections

Topic 4—Statistics and probability » AHL 4.17—Poisson distribution
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Topic 4—Statistics and probability

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