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Date November 2019 Marks available 1 Reference code 19N.3.AHL.TZ0.Hsp_1
Level Additional Higher Level Paper Paper 3 Time zone Time zone 0
Command term State Question number Hsp_1 Adapted from N/A

Question

Peter, the Principal of a college, believes that there is an association between the score in a Mathematics test, X , and the time taken to run 500 m, Y seconds, of his students. The following paired data are collected.

It can be assumed that ( X Y ) follow a bivariate normal distribution with product moment correlation coefficient ρ .

State suitable hypotheses H 0 and H 1 to test Peter’s claim, using a two-tailed test.

[1]
a.i.

Carry out a suitable test at the 5 % significance level. With reference to the  p -value, state your conclusion in the context of Peter’s claim.

[4]
a.ii.

Peter uses the regression line of y on x as y = 0.248 x + 83.0 and calculates that a student with a Mathematics test score of 73 will have a running time of 101 seconds. Comment on the validity of his calculation.

[2]
b.

Markscheme

H 0 : ρ = 0     H 1 : ρ 0        A1

Note: It must be ρ .

[1 mark]

a.i.

p = 0.649        A2

Note: Accept anything that rounds to 0.65

0.649 > 0.05        R1

hence, we accept  H 0 and conclude that Peter’s claim is wrong         A1

Note: The A mark depends on the R mark and the answer must be given in context. Follow through the p -value in part (b).

[4 marks]

a.ii.

a statement along along the lines of ‘(we have accepted that) the two variables are independent’ or ‘the two variables are weakly correlated’       R1

a statement along the lines of ‘the use of the regression line is invalid’ or ‘it would give an inaccurate result’       R1

Note: Award the second R1 only if the first R1 is awarded.

Note: FT the conclusion in(a)(ii). If a candidate concludes that the claim is correct, mark as follows: (as we have accepted H1) the 2 variables are dependent and 73 lies in the range of x values R1, hence the use of the regression line is valid R1

[2 marks]

b.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.i.
[N/A]
a.ii.
[N/A]
b.

Syllabus sections

Topic 4—Statistics and probability » SL 4.4—Pearsons, scatter diagrams, eqn of y on x
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