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1.2 – Uncertainties and errors
Description
Nature of science:
Uncertainties: “All scientific knowledge is uncertain… if you have made up your mind already, you might not solve it. When the scientist tells you he does not know the answer, he is an ignorant man. When he tells you he has a hunch about how it is going to work, he is uncertain about it. When he is pretty sure of how it is going to work, and he tells you, ‘This is the way it’s going to work, I’ll bet,’ he still is in some doubt. And it is of paramount importance, in order to make progress, that we recognize this ignorance and this doubt. Because we have the doubt, we then propose looking in new directions for new ideas.” (3.4)
Feynman, Richard P. 1998. The Meaning of It All: Thoughts of a Citizen-Scientist. Reading, Massachusetts, USA. Perseus. P 13.
Understandings:
- Random and systematic errors
- Absolute, fractional and percentage uncertainties
- Error bars
- Uncertainty of gradient and intercepts
Applications and skills:
- Explaining how random and systematic errors can be identified and reduced
- Collecting data that include absolute and/or fractional uncertainties and stating these as an uncertainty range (expressed as: best estimate ± uncertainty range)
- Propagating uncertainties through calculations involving addition, subtraction, multiplication, division and raising to a power
- Determining the uncertainty in gradients and intercepts
Guidance:
- Analysis of uncertainties will not be expected for trigonometric or logarithmic functions in examinations
- Further guidance on how uncertainties, error bars and lines of best fit are used in examinations can be found in the Teacher support material
Data booklet reference:
Theory of knowledge:
- “One aim of the physical sciences has been to give an exact picture of the material world. One achievement of physics in the twentieth century has been to prove that this aim is unattainable.” – Jacob Bronowski. Can scientists ever be truly certain of their discoveries?
Utilization:
- Students studying more than one group 4 subject will be able to use these skills across all subjects
Aims:
- Aim 4: it is important that students see scientific errors and uncertainties not only as the range of possible answers but as an integral part of the scientific process
- Aim 9: the process of using uncertainties in classical physics can be compared to the view of uncertainties in modern (and particularly quantum) physics
Directly related questions
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.2c:
Outline how using a variable resistance could improve the accuracy of the value found for the internal resistance.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.2c:
Outline how using a variable resistance could improve the accuracy of the value found for the internal resistance.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.c:
Outline how using a variable resistance could improve the accuracy of the value found for the internal resistance.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.1b:
Using the following equation
calculate, for these data, the acceleration due to gravity including an estimate of the absolute uncertainty in your answer.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.1b:
Using the following equation
calculate, for these data, the acceleration due to gravity including an estimate of the absolute uncertainty in your answer.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.b:
Using the following equation
calculate, for these data, the acceleration due to gravity including an estimate of the absolute uncertainty in your answer.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.2a:
This relationship can also be written as follows.
Show that .
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.2a:
This relationship can also be written as follows.
Show that .
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.a:
This relationship can also be written as follows.
Show that .
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.2b.i:
Estimate C.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.2b.i:
Estimate C.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.b.i:
Estimate C.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.2b.ii:
Determine P, to the correct number of significant figures including its unit.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.2b.ii:
Determine P, to the correct number of significant figures including its unit.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.b.ii:
Determine P, to the correct number of significant figures including its unit.
- 18N.1.SL.TZ0.2: The length of the side of a cube is 2.0 cm ± 4 %. The mass of the cube is 24.0 g ± 8 %. What is...
- 18N.1.SL.TZ0.2: The length of the side of a cube is 2.0 cm ± 4 %. The mass of the cube is 24.0 g ± 8 %. What is...
- 18N.3.SL.TZ0.1d: The numerical value of the constant c in SI units is 1.67. Determine g, using the graph.
- 18N.3.SL.TZ0.1d: The numerical value of the constant c in SI units is 1.67. Determine g, using the graph.
- 18N.3.SL.TZ0.d: The numerical value of the constant c in SI units is 1.67. Determine g, using the graph.
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18N.3.SL.TZ0.1a:
State the unit of c.
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18N.3.SL.TZ0.1a:
State the unit of c.
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18N.3.SL.TZ0.a:
State the unit of c.
- 18N.3.SL.TZ0.1c.i: Draw the line of best fit for these data.
- 18N.3.SL.TZ0.1c.i: Draw the line of best fit for these data.
- 18N.3.SL.TZ0.c.i: Draw the line of best fit for these data.
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18N.3.SL.TZ0.1c.ii:
Suggest whether the data are consistent with the theoretical prediction.
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18N.3.SL.TZ0.1c.ii:
Suggest whether the data are consistent with the theoretical prediction.
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18N.3.SL.TZ0.c.ii:
Suggest whether the data are consistent with the theoretical prediction.
- 19M.3.SL.TZ2.1b: Determine, using the graph, the emf of the cell including the uncertainty for this value. Give...
- 19M.3.SL.TZ2.1b: Determine, using the graph, the emf of the cell including the uncertainty for this value. Give...
- 19M.3.SL.TZ2.b: Determine, using the graph, the emf of the cell including the uncertainty for this value. Give...
- 19M.3.SL.TZ2.3b: Explain how the student could use this apparatus to obtain a more reliable value for λ.
- 19M.3.SL.TZ2.3b: Explain how the student could use this apparatus to obtain a more reliable value for λ.
- 19M.3.SL.TZ2.b: Explain how the student could use this apparatus to obtain a more reliable value for λ.
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19M.3.SL.TZ2.3a:
When d = 0.200 mm, s = 0.9 mm and D = 280 mm, determine the percentage uncertainty in the wavelength.
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19M.3.SL.TZ2.3a:
When d = 0.200 mm, s = 0.9 mm and D = 280 mm, determine the percentage uncertainty in the wavelength.
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19M.3.SL.TZ2.a:
When d = 0.200 mm, s = 0.9 mm and D = 280 mm, determine the percentage uncertainty in the wavelength.
- 19M.3.SL.TZ2.1a: The student has plotted error bars for the potential difference. Outline why no error bars are...
- 19M.3.SL.TZ2.1a: The student has plotted error bars for the potential difference. Outline why no error bars are...
- 19M.3.SL.TZ2.a: The student has plotted error bars for the potential difference. Outline why no error bars are...
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19N.3.SL.TZ0.1b:
Determine the fractional uncertainty in v when T = 2.115 s, correct to one significant figure.
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19N.3.SL.TZ0.1b:
Determine the fractional uncertainty in v when T = 2.115 s, correct to one significant figure.
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19N.3.SL.TZ0.b:
Determine the fractional uncertainty in v when T = 2.115 s, correct to one significant figure.
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19N.3.SL.TZ0.1d:
The lines of the minimum and maximum gradient are shown.
Estimate the absolute uncertainty in a.
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19N.3.SL.TZ0.1d:
The lines of the minimum and maximum gradient are shown.
Estimate the absolute uncertainty in a.
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19N.3.SL.TZ0.d:
The lines of the minimum and maximum gradient are shown.
Estimate the absolute uncertainty in a.
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22N.1.SL.TZ0.1:
A rectangular sheet of paper has dimensions of (30.0 ± 0.5) cm and (20.0 ± 0.5) cm.
What is the percentage uncertainty of the perimeter of the paper?
A. 1 %B. 2 %
C. 2.5 %
D. 4 %
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22N.1.SL.TZ0.1:
A rectangular sheet of paper has dimensions of (30.0 ± 0.5) cm and (20.0 ± 0.5) cm.
What is the percentage uncertainty of the perimeter of the paper?
A. 1 %B. 2 %
C. 2.5 %
D. 4 %
- 17N.1.SL.TZ0.2: An object is positioned in a gravitational field. The measurement of gravitational force...
- 17N.1.SL.TZ0.2: An object is positioned in a gravitational field. The measurement of gravitational force...
- 17N.1.SL.TZ0.30: The diagram shows an analogue meter with a mirror behind the pointer. What is the main purpose...
- 17N.1.SL.TZ0.30: The diagram shows an analogue meter with a mirror behind the pointer. What is the main purpose...
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18M.1.SL.TZ1.1:
A student measures the radius r of a sphere with an absolute uncertainty Δr. What is the fractional uncertainty in the volume of the sphere?
A.
B.
C.
D.
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18M.1.SL.TZ1.1:
A student measures the radius r of a sphere with an absolute uncertainty Δr. What is the fractional uncertainty in the volume of the sphere?
A.
B.
C.
D.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.1a:
Draw on the graph the line of best fit for the data.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.1a:
Draw on the graph the line of best fit for the data.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.a:
Draw on the graph the line of best fit for the data.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.1b.i:
Write down the time taken for one oscillation when B = 0.005 T with its absolute uncertainty.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.1b.i:
Write down the time taken for one oscillation when B = 0.005 T with its absolute uncertainty.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.b.i:
Write down the time taken for one oscillation when B = 0.005 T with its absolute uncertainty.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.1b.iii:
State the unit of K.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.1b.iii:
State the unit of K.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.b.iii:
State the unit of K.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.1c:
The student plots a graph to show how P2 varies with for the data.
Sketch the shape of the expected line of best fit on the axes below assuming that the relationship is verified. You do not have to put numbers on the axes.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.1c:
The student plots a graph to show how P2 varies with for the data.
Sketch the shape of the expected line of best fit on the axes below assuming that the relationship is verified. You do not have to put numbers on the axes.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.c:
The student plots a graph to show how P2 varies with for the data.
Sketch the shape of the expected line of best fit on the axes below assuming that the relationship is verified. You do not have to put numbers on the axes.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.1d:
State how the value of K can be obtained from the graph.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.1d:
State how the value of K can be obtained from the graph.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.d:
State how the value of K can be obtained from the graph.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.2a:
Draw a suitable circuit diagram that would enable the internal resistance to be determined.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.2a:
Draw a suitable circuit diagram that would enable the internal resistance to be determined.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.a:
Draw a suitable circuit diagram that would enable the internal resistance to be determined.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.2b:
It is noticed that the resistor gets warmer. Explain how this would affect the calculated value of the internal resistance.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.2b:
It is noticed that the resistor gets warmer. Explain how this would affect the calculated value of the internal resistance.
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18M.3.SL.TZ1.b:
It is noticed that the resistor gets warmer. Explain how this would affect the calculated value of the internal resistance.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.1a:
Determine the distance fallen, in m, by the centre of mass of the sphere including an estimate of the absolute uncertainty in your answer.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.1a:
Determine the distance fallen, in m, by the centre of mass of the sphere including an estimate of the absolute uncertainty in your answer.
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18M.3.SL.TZ2.a:
Determine the distance fallen, in m, by the centre of mass of the sphere including an estimate of the absolute uncertainty in your answer.
- 18N.3.SL.TZ0.1b: A student records the time for 20 oscillations of the rod. Explain how this procedure leads to a...
- 18N.3.SL.TZ0.1b: A student records the time for 20 oscillations of the rod. Explain how this procedure leads to a...
- 18N.3.SL.TZ0.b: A student records the time for 20 oscillations of the rod. Explain how this procedure leads to a...
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19M.1.SL.TZ1.1:
A student wants to determine the angular speed ω of a rotating object. The period T is 0.50 s ±5 %. The angular speed ω is
What is the percentage uncertainty of ω?
A. 0.2 %
B. 2.5 %
C. 5 %
D. 10 %
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19M.1.SL.TZ1.1:
A student wants to determine the angular speed ω of a rotating object. The period T is 0.50 s ±5 %. The angular speed ω is
What is the percentage uncertainty of ω?
A. 0.2 %
B. 2.5 %
C. 5 %
D. 10 %
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19M.1.SL.TZ2.1:
A student measures the radius R of a circular plate to determine its area. The absolute uncertainty in R is ΔR.
What is the fractional uncertainty in the area of the plate?
A.
B.
C.
D.
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19M.1.SL.TZ2.1:
A student measures the radius R of a circular plate to determine its area. The absolute uncertainty in R is ΔR.
What is the fractional uncertainty in the area of the plate?
A.
B.
C.
D.
- 19M.1.HL.TZ2.2: A proton has momentum 10-20 N s and the uncertainty in the position of the proton is 10-10 m....
- 19M.1.HL.TZ2.2: A proton has momentum 10-20 N s and the uncertainty in the position of the proton is 10-10 m....
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19M.3.SL.TZ1.1a.i:
Calculate the percentage error in the measured value of g.
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19M.3.SL.TZ1.1a.i:
Calculate the percentage error in the measured value of g.
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19M.3.SL.TZ1.a.i:
Calculate the percentage error in the measured value of g.
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19M.3.SL.TZ1.1a.ii:
Deduce the value of g and its absolute uncertainty for this experiment.
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19M.3.SL.TZ1.1a.ii:
Deduce the value of g and its absolute uncertainty for this experiment.
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19M.3.SL.TZ1.a.ii:
Deduce the value of g and its absolute uncertainty for this experiment.
- 19M.3.SL.TZ1.1b.i: There is an advantage and a disadvantage in using two masses that are almost equal. State and...
- 19M.3.SL.TZ1.1b.i: There is an advantage and a disadvantage in using two masses that are almost equal. State and...
- 19M.3.SL.TZ1.b.i: There is an advantage and a disadvantage in using two masses that are almost equal. State and...
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19M.3.SL.TZ1.1b.ii:
There is an advantage and a disadvantage in using two masses that are almost equal.
State and explain the disadvantage with reference to your answer to (a)(ii).
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19M.3.SL.TZ1.1b.ii:
There is an advantage and a disadvantage in using two masses that are almost equal.
State and explain the disadvantage with reference to your answer to (a)(ii).
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19M.3.SL.TZ1.b.ii:
There is an advantage and a disadvantage in using two masses that are almost equal.
State and explain the disadvantage with reference to your answer to (a)(ii).
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19M.1.HL.TZ1.1:
A student is verifying the equation
The percentage uncertainties are:
What is the percentage uncertainty in x?
A. 5 %
B. 15 %
C. 25 %
D. 30 %
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19M.1.HL.TZ1.1:
A student is verifying the equation
The percentage uncertainties are:
What is the percentage uncertainty in x?
A. 5 %
B. 15 %
C. 25 %
D. 30 %
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.1b(iii):
In order to find the uncertainty for , a maximum gradient line would be drawn. On the graph, sketch the maximum gradient line for the data.
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.1b(iii):
In order to find the uncertainty for , a maximum gradient line would be drawn. On the graph, sketch the maximum gradient line for the data.
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.b(iii):
In order to find the uncertainty for , a maximum gradient line would be drawn. On the graph, sketch the maximum gradient line for the data.
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.1b(iv):
The percentage uncertainty for is . State , with its absolute uncertainty.
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.1b(iv):
The percentage uncertainty for is . State , with its absolute uncertainty.
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.b(iv):
The percentage uncertainty for is . State , with its absolute uncertainty.
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.1b(v):
The expected value of is . Comment on your result.
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.1b(v):
The expected value of is . Comment on your result.
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.b(v):
The expected value of is . Comment on your result.
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.2a:
State why the experiment is repeated with different values of .
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.2a:
State why the experiment is repeated with different values of .
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.a:
State why the experiment is repeated with different values of .
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.2c(i):
The measurements of were collected five times. Explain how repeated measurements of reduced the random error in the final experimental value of .
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.2c(i):
The measurements of were collected five times. Explain how repeated measurements of reduced the random error in the final experimental value of .
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20N.3.SL.TZ0.c(i):
The measurements of were collected five times. Explain how repeated measurements of reduced the random error in the final experimental value of .
- 21M.1.SL.TZ1.2: Two sets of data, shown below with circles and squares, are obtained in two experiments. The size...
- 21M.1.SL.TZ1.2: Two sets of data, shown below with circles and squares, are obtained in two experiments. The size...
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21M.1.SL.TZ2.1:
A student measures the length l and width w of a rectangular table top.
What is the absolute uncertainty of the perimeter of the table top?
A.
B.
C.
D.
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21M.1.SL.TZ2.1:
A student measures the length l and width w of a rectangular table top.
What is the absolute uncertainty of the perimeter of the table top?
A.
B.
C.
D.
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21N.1.SL.TZ0.2:
A ball of mass (50 ± 1) g is moving with a speed of (25 ± 1) m s−1. What is the fractional uncertainty in the momentum of the ball?
A. 0.02B. 0.04
C. 0.06
D. 0.08
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21N.1.SL.TZ0.2:
A ball of mass (50 ± 1) g is moving with a speed of (25 ± 1) m s−1. What is the fractional uncertainty in the momentum of the ball?
A. 0.02B. 0.04
C. 0.06
D. 0.08
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22M.1.SL.TZ2.1:
The radius of a circle is measured to be (10.0 ± 0.5) cm. What is the area of the circle?
A. (314.2 ± 0.3) cm2
B. (314 ± 1) cm2
C. (314 ± 15) cm2
D. (314 ± 31) cm2
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22M.1.SL.TZ2.1:
The radius of a circle is measured to be (10.0 ± 0.5) cm. What is the area of the circle?
A. (314.2 ± 0.3) cm2
B. (314 ± 1) cm2
C. (314 ± 15) cm2
D. (314 ± 31) cm2
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22M.1.SL.TZ2.2:
Two different experiments, P and Q, generate two sets of data to confirm the proportionality of variables and . The graphs for the data from P and Q are shown. The maximum and minimum gradient lines are shown for both sets of data.
What is true about the systematic error and the uncertainty of the gradient when P is compared to Q?
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22M.1.SL.TZ2.2:
Two different experiments, P and Q, generate two sets of data to confirm the proportionality of variables and . The graphs for the data from P and Q are shown. The maximum and minimum gradient lines are shown for both sets of data.
What is true about the systematic error and the uncertainty of the gradient when P is compared to Q?
- 22M.1.SL.TZ1.3: A student measures the time for 20 oscillations of a pendulum. The experiment is repeated four...
- 22M.1.SL.TZ1.3: A student measures the time for 20 oscillations of a pendulum. The experiment is repeated four...
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22M.1.HL.TZ1.3:
The uncertainty in reading a laboratory thermometer is 0.5 °C. The temperature of a liquid falls from 20 °C to 10 °C as measured by the thermometer. What is the percentage uncertainty in the change in temperature?
A. 2.5 %
B. 5 %
C. 7.5 %
D. 10 %
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22M.1.HL.TZ1.3:
The uncertainty in reading a laboratory thermometer is 0.5 °C. The temperature of a liquid falls from 20 °C to 10 °C as measured by the thermometer. What is the percentage uncertainty in the change in temperature?
A. 2.5 %
B. 5 %
C. 7.5 %
D. 10 %
- 23M.2.HL.TZ1.8a: Photons of wavelength 468 nm are incident on a metallic surface. The maximum kinetic energy of...
- 23M.2.HL.TZ1.8a: Photons of wavelength 468 nm are incident on a metallic surface. The maximum kinetic energy of...
- 23M.2.HL.TZ1.a: Photons of wavelength 468 nm are incident on a metallic surface. The maximum kinetic energy of...
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23M.1.HL.TZ2.37:
Light of frequency is incident on a metallic surface of work function W. Photoelectrons with a maximum kinetic energy Emax are emitted. The frequency of the incident light is changed to 2.
What is true about the maximum kinetic energy and the work function?
Maximum kinetic energy Work function A. less than 2Emax unchanged B. less than 2Emax greater than W C. greater than 2Emax unchanged D. greater than 2Emax greater than W -
23M.1.HL.TZ2.37:
Light of frequency is incident on a metallic surface of work function W. Photoelectrons with a maximum kinetic energy Emax are emitted. The frequency of the incident light is changed to 2.
What is true about the maximum kinetic energy and the work function?
Maximum kinetic energy Work function A. less than 2Emax unchanged B. less than 2Emax greater than W C. greater than 2Emax unchanged D. greater than 2Emax greater than W