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Date May 2017 Marks available 2 Reference code 17M.3.AHL.TZ0.Hsp_1
Level Additional Higher Level Paper Paper 3 Time zone Time zone 0
Command term Justify and State Question number Hsp_1 Adapted from N/A

Question

A farmer sells bags of potatoes which he states have a mean weight of 7 kg . An inspector, however, claims that the mean weight is less than 7 kg . In order to test this claim, the inspector takes a random sample of 12 of these bags and determines the weight, x kg , of each bag. He finds that x = 83.64 ;   x 2 = 583.05. You may assume that the weights of the bags of potatoes can be modelled by the normal distribution N ( μ ,   σ 2 ) .

State suitable hypotheses to test the inspector’s claim.

[1]
a.

Find unbiased estimates of μ and σ 2 .

[3]
b.

Carry out an appropriate test and state the p -value obtained.

[4]
c.i.

Using a 10% significance level and justifying your answer, state your conclusion in context.

[2]
c.ii.

Markscheme

* This question is from an exam for a previous syllabus, and may contain minor differences in marking or structure.

H 0 : μ = 7 ,   H 1 : μ < 7      A1

[1 mark]

a.

x ¯ = 83.64 12 = 6.97      A1

s n 1 2 = 583.05 11   83.64 2 132 = 0.0072      (M1)A1

[3 marks]

b.

t = 6.97 7 0.0072 12 = 1.22 ( 474 )      (M1)(A1)

degrees of freedom = 11      (A1)

p  - value = 0.123      A1

 

Note:     Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.12.

 

[4 marks]

c.i.

because p > 0.1      R1

the inspector’s claim is not supported (at the 10% level)

(or equivalent in context)     A1

 

Note:     Only award the A1 if the R1 has been awarded

 

[2 marks]

c.ii.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.
[N/A]
c.i.
[N/A]
c.ii.

Syllabus sections

Topic 4—Statistics and probability » AHL 4.18—T and Z test, type I and II errors
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Topic 4—Statistics and probability

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