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Date May 2021 Marks available 2 Reference code 21M.1.AHL.TZ1.11
Level Additional Higher Level Paper Paper 1 Time zone Time zone 1
Command term State Question number 11 Adapted from N/A

Question

A factory, producing plastic gifts for a fast food restaurant’s Jolly meals, claims that just 1% of the toys produced are faulty.

A restaurant manager wants to test this claim. A box of 200 toys is delivered to the restaurant. The manager checks all the toys in this box and four toys are found to be faulty.

The restaurant manager performs a one-tailed hypothesis test, at the 10% significance level, to determine whether the factory’s claim is reasonable. It is known that faults in the toys occur independently.

Identify the type of sampling used by the restaurant manager.

[1]
a.

Write down the null and alternative hypotheses.

[2]
b.

Find the p-value for the test.

[2]
c.

State the conclusion of the test. Give a reason for your answer.

[2]
d.

Markscheme

Convenience                 A1 


[1 mark]

a.

H0: 1% of the toys produced are faulty               A1 

H1: More than 1% are faulty               A1 


[2 marks]

b.

X~B200, 0.01               (M1) 

PX4=0.142               A1 


Note:
Any attempt using Normal approximation to find p-value is awarded M0A0.


[2 marks]

c.

14%>10%               R1 

so there is insufficient evidence to reject H0.               A1 


Note:
Do not award R0A1. Accept “fail to reject H0” or “accept H0”.


[2 marks]

d.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.
[N/A]
c.
[N/A]
d.

Syllabus sections

Topic 4—Statistics and probability » AHL 4.18—T and Z test, type I and II errors
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Topic 4—Statistics and probability

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