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DP IB Maths: AA HL

Revision Notes

Home / IB / Maths: AA HL / DP / Revision Notes / 4. Statistics & Probability / 4.5 Binomial Distribution / 4.5.1 The Binomial Distribution


4.5.1 The Binomial Distribution


Properties of Binomial Distribution

What is a binomial distribution? 

  • A binomial distribution is a discrete probability distribution
  • A discrete random variable X follows a binomial distribution if it counts the number of successes when an experiment satisfies the following conditions:
    • There are a fixed finite number of trials (n)
    • The outcome of each trial is independent of the outcomes of the other trials
    • There are exactly two outcomes of each trial (success or failure)
    • The probability of success is constant (p)
  • If X follows a binomial distribution then it is denoted X tilde straight B left parenthesis n comma space p right parenthesis
    • n is the number of trials
    • p is the probability of success
  • The probability of failure is 1 - p which is sometimes denoted as q
  • The formula for the probability of r successful trials is given by:
    • straight P left parenthesis X equals r right parenthesis equals C presuperscript n subscript r cross times p to the power of r left parenthesis 1 minus p right parenthesis to the power of n minus r end exponent for r equals 0 comma space 1 comma space 2 comma space... comma space n
      • C presuperscript n subscript r equals fraction numerator n factorial over denominator r factorial left parenthesis n minus r right parenthesis factorial end fraction where n factorial equals n cross times left parenthesis n minus 1 right parenthesis cross times left parenthesis n minus 2 right parenthesis cross times... cross times 3 cross times 2 cross times 1
    • You will be expected to use the distribution function on your GDC to calculate probabilities with the binomial distribution

What are the important properties of a binomial distribution? 

  • The expected number (mean) of successful trials is

straight E left parenthesis X right parenthesis equals n p 

    • You are given this in the formula booklet
  • The variance of the number of successful trials is

Var left parenthesis X right parenthesis equals n p left parenthesis 1 minus p right parenthesis 

    • You are given this in the formula booklet
    • Square root to get the standard deviation
  • The distribution can be represented visually using a vertical line graph
    • If p is close to 0 then the graph has a tail to the right
    • If p is close to 1 then the graph has a tail to the left
    • If p is close to 0.5 then the graph is roughly symmetrical
    • If p = 0.5 then the graph is symmetrical

1Aka39bs_4-2-1-the-binomial-distribution-diagram-1-part-1shQh2uVX_4-2-1-the-binomial-distribution-diagram-1-part-2

4-2-1-the-binomial-distribution-diagram-1-part-3-1

Modelling with Binomial Distribution

How do I set up a binomial model? 

  • Identify what a trial is in the scenario
    • For example: rolling a dice, flipping a coin, checking hair colour
  • Identify what the successful outcome is in the scenario
    • For example: rolling a 6, landing on tails, having black hair
  • Identify the parameters
    • n is the number of trials and p is the probability of success in each trial
  • Make sure you clearly state what your random variable is
    • For example, let be the number of students in a class of 30 with black hair

What can be modelled using a binomial distribution? 

  • Anything that satisfies the four conditions
  • For example: let T be the number of times a fair coin lands on tails when flipped 20 times:
    • A trial is flipping a coin: There are 20 trials so n = 20
    • We can assume each coin flip does not affect subsequent coin flips: they are independent
    • A success is when the coin lands on tails: Two outcomes - tails or not tails (heads)
    • The coin is fair: The probability of tails is constant with p = 0.5
  • Sometimes it might seem like there are more than two outcomes
    • For example: let Y be the number of yellow cars that are in a car park full of 100 cars
      • Although there are more than two possible colours of cars, here the trial is whether a car is yellow so there are two outcomes (yellow or not yellow)
      • Y would still need to fulfil the other conditions in order to follow a binomial distribution
  • Sometimes a sample may be taken from a population
    • For example: 30% of people in a city have blue eyes, a sample of 30 people from the city is taken and X is the number of them with blue eyes
      • As long as the population is large and the sample is random then it can be assumed that each person has a 30% chance of having blue eyes

What can not be modelled using a binomial distribution? 

  • Anything where the number of trials is not fixed or is infinite
    • The number of emails received in an hour
    • The number of times a coin is flipped until it lands on heads
  • Anything where the outcome of one trial affects the outcome of the other trials
    • The number of caramels that a person eats when they eat 5 sweets from a bag containing 6 caramels and 4 marshmallows
      • If you eat a caramel for your first sweet then there are less caramels left in the bag when you choose your second sweet
    • Anything where there are more than two outcomes of a trial
      • A person's shoe size
      • The number a dice lands on when rolled
    • Anything where the probability of success changes
      • The number of times that a person can swim a length of a swimming pool in under a minute when swimming 50 lengths
        • The probability of swimming a lap in under a minute will decrease as the person gets tired
        • The probability is not constant

Exam Tip

  • An exam question might involve different types of distributions so make it clear which distribution is being used for each variable

Worked Example

It is known that 8% of a large population are immune to a particular virus. Mark takes a sample of 50 people from this population. Mark uses a binomial model for the number of people in his sample that are immune to the virus.

a)
State the distribution that Mark uses.

4-5-1-ib-ai-aa-sl-modelling-binomial-a-we-solution

b)
State two assumptions that Mark must make in order to use a binomial model.

4-5-1-ib-ai-aa-sl-modelling-binomial-b-we-solution

c)
Calculated the expected number of people in the sample that are immune to the virus.

4-5-1-ib-ai-aa-sl-modelling-binomial-c-we-solution



  • 1. Number & Algebra
    • 1.1 Number & Algebra Toolkit
      • 1.1.1 Standard Form
        • 1.1.2 Laws of Indices
          • 1.1.3 Partial Fractions
          • 1.2 Exponentials & Logs
            • 1.2.1 Introduction to Logarithms
              • 1.2.2 Laws of Logarithms
                • 1.2.3 Solving Exponential Equations
                • 1.3 Sequences & Series
                  • 1.3.1 Language of Sequences & Series
                    • 1.3.2 Arithmetic Sequences & Series
                      • 1.3.3 Geometric Sequences & Series
                        • 1.3.4 Applications of Sequences & Series
                          • 1.3.5 Compound Interest & Depreciation
                          • 1.4 Simple Proof & Reasoning
                            • 1.4.1 Proof
                            • 1.5 Further Proof & Reasoning
                              • 1.5.1 Proof by Induction
                                • 1.5.2 Proof by Contradiction
                                • 1.6 Binomial Theorem
                                  • 1.6.1 Binomial Theorem
                                    • 1.6.2 Extension of The Binomial Theorem
                                    • 1.7 Permutations & Combinations
                                      • 1.7.1 Counting Principles
                                        • 1.7.2 Permutations & Combinations
                                        • 1.8 Complex Numbers
                                          • 1.8.1 Intro to Complex Numbers
                                            • 1.8.2 Modulus & Argument
                                              • 1.8.3 Introduction to Argand Diagrams
                                              • 1.9 Further Complex Numbers
                                                • 1.9.1 Geometry of Complex Numbers
                                                  • 1.9.2 Forms of Complex Numbers
                                                    • 1.9.3 Complex Roots of Polynomials
                                                      • 1.9.4 De Moivre's Theorem
                                                        • 1.9.5 Roots of Complex Numbers
                                                        • 1.10 Systems of Linear Equations
                                                          • 1.10.1 Systems of Linear Equations
                                                            • 1.10.2 Algebraic Solutions
                                                          • 2. Functions
                                                            • 2.1 Linear Functions & Graphs
                                                              • 2.1.1 Equations of a Straight Line
                                                              • 2.2 Quadratic Functions & Graphs
                                                                • 2.2.1 Quadratic Functions
                                                                  • 2.2.2 Factorising & Completing the Square
                                                                    • 2.2.3 Solving Quadratics
                                                                      • 2.2.4 Quadratic Inequalities
                                                                        • 2.2.5 Discriminants
                                                                        • 2.3 Functions Toolkit
                                                                          • 2.3.1 Language of Functions
                                                                            • 2.3.2 Composite & Inverse Functions
                                                                              • 2.3.3 Symmetry of Functions
                                                                                • 2.3.4 Graphing Functions
                                                                                • 2.4 Other Functions & Graphs
                                                                                  • 2.4.1 Exponential & Logarithmic Functions
                                                                                    • 2.4.2 Solving Equations
                                                                                      • 2.4.3 Modelling with Functions
                                                                                      • 2.5 Reciprocal & Rational Functions
                                                                                        • 2.5.1 Reciprocal & Rational Functions
                                                                                        • 2.6 Transformations of Graphs
                                                                                          • 2.6.1 Translations of Graphs
                                                                                            • 2.6.2 Reflections of Graphs
                                                                                              • 2.6.3 Stretches Graphs
                                                                                                • 2.6.4 Composite Transformations of Graphs
                                                                                                • 2.7 Polynomial Functions
                                                                                                  • 2.7.1 Factor & Remainder Theorem
                                                                                                    • 2.7.2 Polynomial Division
                                                                                                      • 2.7.3 Polynomial Functions
                                                                                                        • 2.7.4 Roots of Polynomials
                                                                                                        • 2.8 Inequalities
                                                                                                          • 2.8.1 Solving Inequalities Graphically
                                                                                                            • 2.8.2 Polynomial Inequalities
                                                                                                            • 2.9 Further Functions & Graphs
                                                                                                              • 2.9.1 Modulus Functions
                                                                                                                • 2.9.2 Modulus Transformations
                                                                                                                  • 2.9.3 Modulus Equations & Inequalities
                                                                                                                    • 2.9.4 Reciprocal & Square Transformations
                                                                                                                  • 3. Geometry & Trigonometry
                                                                                                                    • 3.1 Geometry Toolkit
                                                                                                                      • 3.1.1 Coordinate Geometry
                                                                                                                        • 3.1.2 Radian Measure
                                                                                                                          • 3.1.3 Arcs & Sectors
                                                                                                                          • 3.2 Geometry of 3D Shapes
                                                                                                                            • 3.2.1 3D Coordinate Geometry
                                                                                                                              • 3.2.2 Volume & Surface Area
                                                                                                                              • 3.3 Trigonometry Toolkit
                                                                                                                                • 3.3.1 Pythagoras & Right-Angled Triganometry
                                                                                                                                  • 3.3.2 Non Right-Angled Trigonometry
                                                                                                                                    • 3.3.3 Applications of Trigonometry & Pythagoras
                                                                                                                                    • 3.4 Trigonometry
                                                                                                                                      • 3.4.1 The Unit Circle
                                                                                                                                        • 3.4.2 Exact Values
                                                                                                                                        • 3.5 Trigonometric Functions & Graphs
                                                                                                                                          • 3.5.1 Graphs of Trigonometric Functions
                                                                                                                                            • 3.5.2 Transformations of Trigonometric Functions
                                                                                                                                              • 3.5.3 Modelling with Trigonometric Functions
                                                                                                                                              • 3.6 Trigonometric Equations & Identities
                                                                                                                                                • 3.6.1 Simple Identities
                                                                                                                                                  • 3.6.2 Compound Angle Formulae
                                                                                                                                                    • 3.6.3 Double Angle Formulae
                                                                                                                                                      • 3.6.4 Relationship Between Trigonometric Ratios
                                                                                                                                                        • 3.6.5 Linear Trigonometric Equations
                                                                                                                                                          • 3.6.6 Quadratic Trigonometric Equations
                                                                                                                                                          • 3.7 Inverse & Reciprocal Trig Functions
                                                                                                                                                            • 3.7.1 Reciprocal Trig Functions
                                                                                                                                                              • 3.7.2 Inverse Trig Functions
                                                                                                                                                              • 3.8 Further Trigonometry
                                                                                                                                                                • 3.8.1 Trigonometric Proof
                                                                                                                                                                  • 3.8.2 Strategy for Trigonometric Equations
                                                                                                                                                                  • 3.9 Vector Properties
                                                                                                                                                                    • 3.9.1 Introduction to Vectors
                                                                                                                                                                      • 3.9.2 Position & Displacement Vectors
                                                                                                                                                                        • 3.9.3 Magnitude of a Vector
                                                                                                                                                                          • 3.9.4 The Scalar Product
                                                                                                                                                                            • 3.9.5 Geometric Proof with Vectors
                                                                                                                                                                            • 3.10 Vector Equations of Lines
                                                                                                                                                                              • 3.10.1 Vector Equations of Lines
                                                                                                                                                                                • 3.10.2 Applications to Kinematics
                                                                                                                                                                                  • 3.10.3 Pairs of Lines in 3D
                                                                                                                                                                                    • 3.10.4 The Vector Product
                                                                                                                                                                                      • 3.10.5 Shortest Distances with Lines
                                                                                                                                                                                      • 3.11 Vector Planes
                                                                                                                                                                                        • 3.11.1 Vector Equations of Planes
                                                                                                                                                                                          • 3.11.2 Intersections of Lines & Planes
                                                                                                                                                                                            • 3.11.3 Angles Between Lines & Planes
                                                                                                                                                                                              • 3.11.4 Shortest Distances with Planes
                                                                                                                                                                                            • 4. Statistics & Probability
                                                                                                                                                                                              • 4.1 Statistics Toolkit
                                                                                                                                                                                                • 4.1.1 Sampling & Data Collection
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • 4.1.2 Statistical Measures
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • 4.1.3 Frequency Tables
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 4.1.4 Linear Transformations of Data
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • 4.1.5 Outliers
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • 4.1.6 Univariate Data
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 4.1.7 Interpreting Data
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 4.2 Correlation & Regression
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • 4.2.1 Bivariate Data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • 4.2.2 Correlation & Regression
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • 4.3 Probability
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • 4.3.1 Probability & Types of Events
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • 4.3.2 Conditional Probability
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 4.3.3 Bayes' Theorem
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • 4.3.4 Sample Space Diagrams
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • 4.4 Probability Distributions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • 4.4.1 Discrete Probability Distributions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 4.4.2 Mean & Variance
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 4.5 Binomial Distribution
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • 4.5.1 The Binomial Distribution
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • 4.5.2 Calculating Binomial Probabilities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • 4.6 Normal Distribution
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • 4.6.1 The Normal Distribution
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • 4.6.2 Calculations with Normal Distribution
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 4.6.3 Standardisation of Normal Variables
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 4.7 Further Probability Distributions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • 4.7.1 Probability Density Function
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 5. Calculus
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • 5.1 Differentiation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • 5.1.1 Introduction to Differentiation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 5.1.2 Applications of Differentiation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 5.2 Further Differentiation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • 5.2.1 Differentiating Special Functions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • 5.2.2 Techniques of Differentiation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • 5.2.3 Higher Order Derivatives
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • 5.2.4 Further Applications of Differentiation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 5.2.5 Concavity & Points of Inflection
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • 5.2.6 Derivatives & Graphs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • 5.3 Integration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • 5.3.1 Introduction to Integration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 5.3.2 Applications of Integration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 5.4 Further Integration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • 5.4.1 Integrating Special Functions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • 5.4.2 Techniques of Integration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • 5.4.3 Definite Integrals
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • 5.4.4 Further Applications of Integration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • 5.5 Optimisation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 5.5.1 Modelling with Differentiation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 5.6 Kinematics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • 5.6.1 Kinematics Toolkit
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • 5.6.2 Calculus for Kinematics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • 5.7 Basic Limits & Continuity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 5.7.1 Basic Limits & Continuity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 5.8 Advanced Differentiation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • 5.8.1 First Principles Differentiation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • 5.8.2 Applications of Chain Rule
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • 5.8.3 Implicit Differentiation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • 5.8.4 Differentiating Further Functions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • 5.9 Advanced Integration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 5.9.1 Integrating Further Functions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • 5.9.2 Further Techniques of Integration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • 5.9.3 Integrating with Partial Fractions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 5.9.4 Advanced Applications of Integration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • 5.9.5 Modelling with Volumes of Revolution
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • 5.10 Differential Equations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • 5.10.1 Numerical Solutions to Differential Equations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • 5.10.2 Analytical Solutions to Differential Equations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • 5.10.3 Modelling with Differential Equations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • 5.11 MacLaurin Series
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 5.11.1 Maclaurin Series
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • 5.11.2 Maclaurin Series from Differential Equations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • 5.12 Further Limits (inc l'Hôpital's Rule)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • 5.12.1 Further Limits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Daniel Finlay

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Author: Daniel

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Dan graduated from the University of Oxford with a First class degree in mathematics. As well as teaching maths for over 8 years, Dan has marked a range of exams for Edexcel, tutored students and taught A Level Accounting. Dan has a keen interest in statistics and probability and their real-life applications.


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