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Economics: SL Revision Notes

SL IB Economics

Revision Notes

Home / IB / Economics / SL / Revision Notes / 3. Macroeconomics / 3.1 Measuring Economic Activity / 3.1.3 The Business Cycle


3.1.3 The Business Cycle


The Business Cycle

  • A business cycle refers to the changes in real GDP that occur in an economy over time
    • This is the actual growth
  • The real GDP will fluctuate above and below the long-term trend rate of growth
  • There are four recognisable points in the cycle
    • Peak/boom; slowdown/downturn; recession, recovery

  

2-5-3-trade-cycle-images_edexcel-al-economics

The Business Cycle illustrates the fluctuations of real GDP (actual growth) around long-term trend growth


Diagram Analysis

  • A positive output gap is identified as the growth of real GDP that is above the trend
  • A negative output gap is identified as the growth of GDP that is below the trend
  • There is often a natural flow through the different stages from boom to slowdown to recession to recovery
  • This flow of real GDP can be moderated by government intervention
    • E.g. increasing taxes in a boom period or increasing spending in a recession

The Characteristics of a Boom and Recession


Characteristics of a Recession


Characteristics of a Boom

  • A recession occurs when there are two or more consecutive quarters (6 months) of negative economic growth

  • Increasing/high rates of economic growth

  • Increasing/high unemployment

  • Decreasing unemployment and increasing job vacancies

  • Increasing negative output gap and spare production capacity

  • Reduction of negative output gap or creation of a positive gap. Spare capacity is reduced or eliminated

  • Low confidence for firms/households

  • High confidence and more risky decisions taken

  • Low inflation

  • Increasing rate of inflation - usually demand pull

  • Increase in government expenditure perhaps leading to a great budget deficit

  • An improvement in the government budget as tax revenues rise and expenditure falls

Exam Tip

You will often be examined on the characteristics of the trade cycle. Remember to demonstrate critical thinking around the assumptions of the model. For example, some firms may thrive during a recession as consumers switch to purchasing inferior goods (e.g. Lidl).

Additionally, the components of aggregate demand do not rise/fall at the same rate. For example, during recovery, consumption may increase well ahead of investment by firms.

An economy may also experience some fundamental restructuring during a prolonged recession and the composition of real GDP growth may be significantly different to what is was before the recession.



  • 1. Introduction To Economics
    • 1.1 What Is Economics?
      • 1.1.1 Economics as a Social Science
        • 1.1.2 The Problem of Choice
          • 1.1.3 The Production Possibilities Curve Model (PPC)
            • 1.1.4 Modelling the Economy
            • 1.2 How Do Economists Approach The World?
              • 1.2.1 Economic Methodology
                • 1.2.2 Economic Thought
              • 2. Microeconomics
                • 2.1 Demand
                  • 2.1.1 Demand, Price & Quantity
                    • 2.1.2 Non-Price Determinants of Demand
                    • 2.2 Supply
                      • 2.2.1 Supply, Price & Quantity
                        • 2.2.2 Non-Price Determinants of Supply
                        • 2.3 Competitive Market Equilibrium
                          • 2.3.1 Market Equilibrium & Disequilibrium
                            • 2.3.2 Functions of the Price Mechanism
                              • 2.3.3 Consumer & Producer Surplus
                              • 2.4 Price Elasticity of Demand (PED)
                                • 2.4.1 Definition, Calculation & Determinants of PED
                                  • 2.4.2 The Significance of PED
                                  • 2.5 Income Elasticity of Demand (YED)
                                    • 2.5.1 Definition, Calculation & Illustration of YED
                                    • 2.6 Price Elasticity of Supply (PES)
                                      • 2.6.1 Definition, Calculation & Determinants of PES
                                      • 2.7 Role of Government In Microeconomics
                                        • 2.7.1 Reasons For Government Intervention In Markets
                                          • 2.7.2 Government Intervention: Indirect Taxes & Subsidies
                                            • 2.7.3 Government Intervention: Price Controls, Direct Provision & Regulation
                                            • 2.8 Market Failure: Externalities & Common Pool (Access) Resources
                                              • 2.8.1 Market Failure
                                                • 2.8.2 Negative Externalities
                                                  • 2.8.3 Positive Externalities
                                                    • 2.8.4 Common Pool (Access) Resources
                                                      • 2.8.5 Government Intervention to Address the Market Failure
                                                        • 2.8.6 Other Interventions to Address the Market Failure
                                                        • 2.9 Market Failure: Public Goods
                                                          • 2.9.1 Public Goods
                                                        • 3. Macroeconomics
                                                          • 3.1 Measuring Economic Activity
                                                            • 3.1.1 National Income & The Circular Flow of Income
                                                              • 3.1.2 National Income Terminology & Calculations
                                                                • 3.1.3 The Business Cycle
                                                                  • 3.1.4 Appropriateness of Using GDP/GNI to Measure Well-being
                                                                    • 3.1.5 Alternative Measures of Well-Being
                                                                    • 3.2 Variations in Economic Activity (AD & AS)
                                                                      • 3.2.1 Aggregate Demand (AD)
                                                                        • 3.2.2 Short-Run Aggregate Supply (SRAS)
                                                                          • 3.2.3 Alternative Views of Aggregate Supply (AS)
                                                                            • 3.2.4 Shifts of the Long-Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS)
                                                                              • 3.2.5 Macroeconomic Equilibrium
                                                                              • 3.3 Macroeconomic Objectives
                                                                                • 3.3.1 An Introduction to Macroeconomic Objectives
                                                                                  • 3.3.2 Economic Growth
                                                                                    • 3.3.3 Low Unemployment
                                                                                      • 3.3.4 Low & Stable Rate of Inflation
                                                                                        • 3.3.5 Potential Conflicts Between Macroeconomic Objectives
                                                                                        • 3.4 Inequality & Poverty
                                                                                          • 3.4.1 Measuring Inequality & Poverty
                                                                                            • 3.4.2 Causes of Inequality & Poverty
                                                                                              • 3.4.3 Using Taxation to Reduce Inequality & Poverty
                                                                                                • 3.4.4 Other Policies to Reduce Inequality & Poverty
                                                                                                • 3.5 Demand Management: Monetary Policy
                                                                                                  • 3.5.1 An Overview of Monetary Policy
                                                                                                  • 3.6 Demand Management: Fiscal Policy
                                                                                                    • 3.6.1 An Overview of Fiscal Policy
                                                                                                    • 3.7 Supply-Side Policies
                                                                                                      • 3.7.1 An Overview of Supply-Side Policies
                                                                                                        • 3.7.2 The Effectiveness of Supply-Side Policies
                                                                                                      • 4. The Global Economy
                                                                                                        • 4.1 Benefits of International Trade
                                                                                                          • 4.1.1 The Advantages of Free Trade
                                                                                                          • 4.2 Types of Trade Protection
                                                                                                            • 4.2.1 Tariffs
                                                                                                              • 4.2.2 Quotas
                                                                                                                • 4.2.3 Export Subsidies
                                                                                                                  • 4.2.4 Administrative Barriers
                                                                                                                  • 4.3 Arguments For & Against Trade Protection
                                                                                                                    • 4.3.1 Arguments For & Against Trade Protection
                                                                                                                    • 4.4 Economic Integration
                                                                                                                      • 4.4.1 Understanding Economic Integration
                                                                                                                        • 4.4.2 Types of Trading Blocs
                                                                                                                          • 4.4.3 The World Trade Organisation (WTO)
                                                                                                                          • 4.5 Exchange Rates
                                                                                                                            • 4.5.1 Types of Exchange Rate Systems
                                                                                                                              • 4.5.2 Causes & Consequences of Exchange Rate Fluctuations
                                                                                                                              • 4.6 Balance of Payments
                                                                                                                                • 4.6.1 Components of the Balance of Payments
                                                                                                                                • 4.7 Sustainable Development
                                                                                                                                  • 4.7.1 The Sustainable Development Goals
                                                                                                                                  • 4.8 Measuring Economic Development
                                                                                                                                    • 4.8.1 Single Indicators of Development
                                                                                                                                      • 4.8.2 Composite Indicators of Development
                                                                                                                                        • 4.8.3 Evaluating the Different Approaches
                                                                                                                                        • 4.9 Barriers to Economic Growth & Development
                                                                                                                                          • 4.9.1 Poverty Traps
                                                                                                                                            • 4.9.2 Economic, Political & Social Barriers
                                                                                                                                            • 4.10 Economic Growth & Development Strategies
                                                                                                                                              • 4.10.1 Trade Strategies, Diversification & Social Enterprise
                                                                                                                                                • 4.10.2 Market-Based & Interventionist Policies
                                                                                                                                                  • 4.10.3 Merit Goods & Inward Foreign Direct Investment
                                                                                                                                                    • 4.10.4 Foreign Aid & Development Assistance
                                                                                                                                                      • 4.10.5 Institutional Change
                                                                                                                                                        • 4.10.6 Evaluating Market Orientated Approaches Versus Government Intervention
                                                                                                                                                          • 4.10.7 Progress Towards Sustainable Development Goals

                                                                                                                                                        Author: Steve



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